Best Super Bowl Props for Chiefs vs. Eagles: 15 Player Prop Bets to Make Right Now

There are only a few days left to wager on the best Super Bowl props for Chiefs vs. Eagles ahead of this Super Bowl 2025 matchup on Sunday (6:30 p.m. ET, FOX).

We've gathered 15 of our best expert picks and Super Bowl predictions for the most popular player prop bets ahead of Super Bowl 59, including a handful of Super Bowl long shots before these teams take the field at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.

Best Super Bowl player props: Chiefs vs. Eagles expert picks & predictions

Here are our best Super Bowl player prop bets with picks and odds courtesy of our best NFL prop betting sites ahead of Chiefs vs. Eagles in Super Bowl 59.

• Patrick Mahomes Under 36.5 passing attempts (-120)
• Jalen Hurts Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+185)
• Saquon Barkley Over 110.5 rushing yards (-110)
• Travis Kelce Over 6.5 receptions (+130)
• DeVonta Smith Over 50.5 receiving yards (-111)
• Xavier Worthy Over 62.5 rushing + receiving yards (-115)
• Chris Jones Over 0.25 sacks (+114)
• Jake Elliott Over 1.5 field goals made (+105)
• Kareem Hunt anytime touchdown scorer (+145)
• Noah Gray 1st-half touchdown scorer (+1000)
• Dallas Goedert 1st touchdown scorer (+1900)
• DeAndre Hopkins last touchdown scorer (+3000)
• Marquise Brown 1st Chiefs reception (+500)
• Saquon Barkley to break Super Bowl rushing yards record (+1100)
• George Karlaftis to win Super Bowl MVP (+1400)

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Patrick Mahomes Under 36.5 passing attempts

Super Bowl player prop pick and odds from Tuesday, Feb. 4.

• Mike Spector's pick: Patrick Mahomes Under 36.5 passing attempts (-120 via DraftKings)

The Eagles' pass defense is no joke this season. The unit has allowed 6.1 yards per attempt between the regular season and playoffs. That was the lowest among all NFL teams, and it's the franchise’s fewest in a season since 2001.

Philadelphia, which is the underdog by the Super Bowl odds, ranks first in total defense and second in points per game allowed. Its balanced rushing attack should also keep Mahomes and the Chiefs' offense off the field more than usual.

Check out our full analysis of the best Super Bowl passing props.

Jalen Hurts Over 1.5 passing touchdowns

Super Bowl player prop pick and odds from Tuesday, Feb. 4.

• Mike Spector's pick: Jalen Hurts Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+185 via Caesars)

Hurts threw for 304 yards and one touchdown in the Super Bowl matchup against the Chiefs two years ago. He instead did most of his damage from a scoring perspective on the ground with three rushing touchdowns.

These are great odds for Hurts to throw multiple touchdowns, especially given his success against the blitz this season. Including the playoffs, Hurts ranks second with a 91 QBR when facing a blitz. His 11:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio in that split also ranks fourth among players with 100 attempts versus a blitz, and his 13% off-target percentage is third-best.

The Chiefs blitz on 18% of dropbacks (second-most), and have generated the most pressures (68) using the blitz. Hurts has tallied eight passing touchdowns and nine rushing touchdowns across eight career playoff games. I'm hoping he trades off one of his usual rushing scores for a passing score in this game.

Check out our full analysis of the best Super Bowl passing props.

Saquon Barkley Over 110.5 rushing yards

Super Bowl player prop pick and odds from Tuesday, Feb. 4.

• Philip Wood's pick: Saquon Barkley Over 110.5 rushing yards (-110 via FanDuel)

Barkley has rushed for at least 118 yards in five consecutive games, and he’s averaging nearly eight yards per carry in his last two. The Chiefs may have finished the year with the eighth-best rush defense, but that unit hasn't played well in the postseason for the Super Bowl odds favorites.

James Cook ran for 85 yards and two touchdowns against them in the AFC Championship Game, and Joe Mixon finished with 88 yards during the divisional round. Both backs averaged at least 4.9 yards per carry.

This number is set high, but Barkley has been playing incredibly well throughout the year. The only way he doesn’t hit the Over here is if the Chiefs jump out to a multi-score lead right away.

Check out our full analysis of the best Super Bowl rushing props.

Travis Kelce Over 6.5 receptions

Super Bowl player prop pick and odds from Tuesday, Feb. 4.

• Brenden Schaeffer's pick: Travis Kelce Over 6.5 receptions (+130 via Caesars)

The Eagles' secondary performed as one of the best units in the league this season while allowing 184.9 passing yards per game). But given the struggles of Kansas City's running game recently, the path to a Chiefs three-peat flows through the arm of Mahomes.

That should mean plenty of Kelce. Although the Eagles haven’t been especially susceptible to tight end production this year, they just allowed 11 receptions and 104 yards to Zach Ertz during the NFC Championship Game.

The Bills bottled up Kelce for just two catches, but he racked up 7-plus receptions in consecutive games preceding that matchup.

Check out our full analysis of the best Super Bowl receiving props.

DeVonta Smith Over 50.5 receiving yards

Super Bowl player prop pick and odds from Monday, Feb. 3.

• Mike Spector's pick: DeVonta Smith Over 50.5 receiving yards (-111 via DraftKings)

Smith has lined up in the slot on more than half of his snaps over the last seven games. That bodes well for more targets coming his way, as A.J. Brown will likely face shadow coverage from Kansas City’s best cornerback, Trent McDuffie.

The Chiefs allow the second-most yards and rank in the bottom eight in yards per target to slot receivers. Conversely, they have allowed the fewest receptions overall to perimeter receivers.

Smith has only gone Over this projected total once in three playoff games. But he has caught all 12 of his targets through the first three rounds and ended the regular season with 51-plus receiving yards in three consecutive games.

Check out our full analysis of the best Super Bowl player prop picks.

Xavier Worthy Over 62.5 rushing + receiving yards

Super Bowl player prop pick and odds from Friday, Feb. 7.

• C Jackson Cowart's pick: Xavier Worthy Over 62.5 rushing + receiving yards (-115 via Caesars)

It took a while for him to get going, despite scoring in Week 1, but Worthy has emerged as a critical piece in this Chiefs' passing attack as a rookie - and not just as a deep-ball merchant, either.

Since fellow speedster Hollywood Brown returned to the lineup in Week 16, Worthy has feasted in the short-passing game for Kansas City's RPO-heavy offense. He's averaging 11 targets plus rush attempts in his last five weeks, and he leads the Chiefs' starters in target share (25.4%) over their last four games excluding Week 18.

He's cleared this combined prop total in four of his last five games, including a 101-yard effort in the AFC Championship, and I love his chances of getting involved in a big way on Sunday. I'm also tempted by his +1200 odds via BetMGM to score the last touchdown.

Check out our full analysis in our Chiefs vs. Eagles prediction.

Chris Jones Over 0.25 sacks

Super Bowl player prop pick and odds from Tuesday, Feb. 4.

• Mike Spector's pick: Chris Jones Over 0.25 sacks (+114 via DraftKings)

Jones just needs a half-sack to go over this projected total, and these odds are too good to pass up. The Chiefs star has tallied one sack and six quarterback pressures through two playoff games this season.

Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts doesn't typically throw a ton, but he's taken two-plus sacks in all three playoff games thus far, including seven during a divisional-round win over the Rams.

Check out our full analysis of the best Super Bowl defensive props.

Jake Elliott Over 1.5 field goals made

Super Bowl player prop pick and odds from Tuesday, Feb. 4.

• Philip Wood's pick: Jake Elliott Over 1.5 field goals made (+105 via DraftKings)

The Eagles are good enough they won’t need to chase points. If they stall out in an unfavorable down and distance, I expect Nick Sirianni to play it safe and call for the field-goal unit, just like he did in the first two games of the postseason.

Elliott is 6-of-7 on field-goal attempts this postseason. Five of his makes are from 39 yards or under. He also ended the regular season making at least two field goals in four consecutive games. Six of his 10 makes during that stretch were from inside 40 yards.

The Eagles can move the ball against anyone, but they’ve been prone to settling for field goals. The Chiefs will allow them to get in scoring range. But look for Kansas City's defense to tighten up, forcing Elliott to play a more significant factor than usual.

Check out our full analysis of the best Super Bowl kicking props.

Kareem Hunt anytime touchdown scorer

Super Bowl player prop pick and odds from Wednesday, Feb. 5.

• Sean Tomlinson's pick: Kareem Hunt anytime touchdown scorer (+145 via FanDuel)

Workload was briefly a concern for Hunt when Isiah Pacheco first came back from his injury. But the latter has often been struggling to return to form, leading to plenty of opportunities for Hunt still.

That includes three double-digit carry games over his last five outings, spiking at 17 during the tight AFC Championship Game. Hunt has scored in four straight contests too, and he's been efficient while notching seven regular-season red-zone touchdowns (tied for 11th).

The appealing plus-money odds here are surely a product of the Eagles allowing only five rushing touchdowns to running backs throughout the campaign (second fewest). Still, Hunt has been too effective and relied on too heavily near the goal line to ignore at this price.

Check out our full analysis of the best Super Bowl anytime touchdown scorer bets.

Noah Gray 1st-half touchdown scorer

Super Bowl player prop pick and odds from Thursday, Feb. 6.

• Sean Tomlinson's pick: Noah Gray 1st-half touchdown scorer (+1000 via FanDuel)

Sure, the other Chiefs tight end is the superstar both on and off the field, and Travis Kelce is front and center in the Taylor Swift prop bets for the 2025 Super Bowl. But Gray has quietly been a productive and consistent red-zone option for the Chiefs.

His five touchdowns this season are one more than his total over the pass catcher’s previous three campaigns combined. Four of those scores came in the red zone on just 10 targets, while Kelce scored three times near pay dirt on 26 looks. Gray is an efficient and sneaky outlet near the opposition’s goal line.

Check out our full analysis of the best Super Bowl long-shot predictions.

Dallas Goedert 1st touchdown scorer

Super Bowl player prop pick and odds from Thursday, Feb. 6.

• Gary Pearson's pick: Dallas Goedert 1st touchdown scorer (+1900 via DraftKings)

I love the matchup for Goedert versus the Chiefs. He ripped the Washington Commanders apart for 85 yards on seven catches and will face a Chiefs defense that has trouble defending tight ends in the middle of the field.

Goedert should be primed to hit pay dirt with much of the Chiefs' defensive attention focused on stopping A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, Barkley, and Hurts. He scored a touchdown against the Green Bay Packers in the wild-card round and had two touchdowns in his last five regular-season games.

Check out our full analysis of the best Super Bowl long-shot predictions.

DeAndre Hopkins last touchdown scorer

Super Bowl player prop pick and odds from Thursday, Feb. 6.

• Gabe Henderson's pick: DeAndre Hopkins last touchdown scorer (+3000 via bet365)

Hopkins has been eerily quiet in the NFL playoffs thus far. He’s been targeted just three times and hauled in one reception for 11 yards. This has his odds inflated heading into the Super Bowl, which means they’re much easier to play.

Hopkins has been vocal about how much playing in his first Super Bowl means to him. As such, it’s unlikely one of the best wide receivers of this generation will be content with sitting this one out.

The last three Super Bowls have seen a wide receiver haul in the Big Game’s final touchdown for the winner (Cooper Kupp, Skyy Moore, and Mecole Hardman). If this game is as close as our Super Bowl predictions expect, Mahomes could turn to his most experienced wideout to clinch the three-peat.

Check out our full analysis of the best Super Bowl touchdown scorer predictions.

Marquise Brown 1st Chiefs reception

Super Bowl player prop pick and odds from Thursday, Feb. 6.

• C Jackson Cowart's pick: Marquise Brown 1st Chiefs reception (+500 via BetMGM)

I'm going a little off the board with this one, but this is one of my favorite bets of the Super Bowl every year - especially after cashing multiple long-shot bets last year when 49ers fullback Kyle Juszczyk caught the game's first pass for San Francisco.

I don't see that kind of value on the board this year unless you feel like taking a shot on Isiah Pacheco (+1400), who saw Patrick Mahomes' first target in the wild-card round. Instead, my eyes are locked on Brown, who caught the first two passes in the AFC Championship and has often been an early target for this team since his return.

Brown's presence on the field is a big deal for a Kansas City offense that has struggled to stretch the field all season long, so I expect him to be one of the first 11 guys out there when the Chiefs get the ball. And don't be surprised if he's involved right away.

Check out our full analysis of the best Super Bowl first play predictions.

Saquon Barkley to break Super Bowl rushing yards record

Super Bowl player prop pick and odds from Monday, Feb. 3.

• Mike Spector's pick: Saquon Barkley to break Super Bowl rushing yards record (+1100 via DraftKings)

Not only did Ricky Sanders set the Super Bowl record for receiving yards in Super Bowl 22 in 1988, but Washington’s Timmy Smith set the Super Bowl rushing record with 204 rush yards in the same game. That broke Marcus Allen’s 191-yard performance from 1984.

Barkley has already rushed for 2,447 yards this season, the second-most of all time. It is worth a flier at +1100 odds at our best sports betting apps that he (or Kareem Hunt) can break the Super Bowl rushing record. Barkley already rushed for 205 yards in the divisional round against the Rams and also ran for 255 yards in a regular-season win.

He has ripped off a 60-yard run in five games this season, so Barkley does not necessarily need a lot of volume to break the record. It will be difficult, though, as the Chiefs have not allowed a 100-yard rusher in the playoffs with Steve Spagnuolo as defensive coordinator.

Check out our full analysis of the Super Bowl records and odds to break them.

George Karlaftis to win Super Bowl MVP

Super Bowl player prop pick and odds from Friday, Feb. 7.

• Philip Wood's pick: George Karlaftis to win Super Bowl MVP (+1400 via FanDuel)

Only two defensive ends have ever won Super Bowl MVP. The last came in Super Bowl 20 when Richard Dent won for the victorious Chicago Bears. So, while this is incredibly unlikely, there is quite a bit to like about Karlaftis on Sunday.

First, Karlaftis led the Chiefs in sacks this season, racking up eight. He’s also compiled three sacks in the postseason. And while many will argue that Hurts is too mobile of a quarterback for a defensive end to rack up meaningful numbers against, he’s been sacked 11 times this postseason. Seven of those came against the Los Angeles Rams.

Despite being injured for the last weeks of the season, Hurts was sacked 38 times in the regular season. If this ends up being a low-scoring game, then a few sacks and a fumble recovery may be enough to get a defensive player the MVP award.

Check out our full analysis of the best Super Bowl MVP picks and predictions.

Super Bowl 2025 info

• When: Sunday, Feb. 9
• Kickoff: 6:30 p.m. ET 
• Where: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
• How to watch: FOX
• Weather: Indoors 
• Favorite: Chiefs -1.5 (-105 via BetMGM)

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