NFL Survivor Picks Week 6: Falcons, Cousins Will Keep Riding High
We lost for real in Week 5 and don't have any mulligans left. The Seattle Seahawks floundering against the New York Giants 29-20 was agonizing, especially since the latter hapless club entered the matchup averaging just 15 points per game.
But it's onward for those of you who remain alive, and we're still offering our best teams to pick and fade.
This week we're heading to the NFC South while eying the leading team in a tight division. Beforehand, we targeted another team in the division, the woeful Panthers, which worked wonders.
- Kirk Cousins leads an Atlanta Falcons team that sits among the second tier of Super Bowl odds contenders (+2800)
- Cousins is also among the NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds front-runners, and he's fresh off throwing for a franchise record 509 yards with four touchdown tosses
- Drake London has been catching fire recently for the Falcons as well, with 154 receiving yards last week and touchdowns in three of his last four games
Teams used:
- Week 1: New Orleans Saints (vs. Panthers) ✅
- Week 2: Los Angeles Chargers (at Panthers) ✅
- Week 3: Las Vegas Raiders (vs. Panthers) 🙅
- Week 4: Houston Texans (vs. Jaguars) ✅
- Week 5: Seattle Seahawks (vs. Giants) 🙅
- Week 6: Atlanta Falcons (at Panthers) 👀
Be sure to check out all of our NFL Week 6 predictions ahead of the action!
Week 6 survivor picks: Rankings
(NFL odds for Week 6 via bet365 as of Oct. 8. Rankings from most to least confident.)
| Team | Opponent | Moneyline | Win probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Falcons | at Panthers | -270 | 72.97% |
| 2. Bengals | at Giants | -180 | 64.29% |
| 3. Texans | at Patriots | -310 | 75.61% |
| 4. Eagles | vs. Browns | -425 | 80.95% |
| 5. Ravens | vs. Commanders | -290 | 74.36% |
| 6. Packers | vs. Cardinals | -245 | 71.01% |
| 7. Steelers | at Raiders | -155 | 60.78% |
| 8. Bears | vs. Jaguars | -130 | 56.52% |
| 9. Buccaneers | at Saints | -155 | 60.78% |
| 10. Bills | at Jets | -140 | 58.33% |
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Who I'm picking: Falcons (at Panthers)
Cousins seems to have understandably needed time to gel with his new team and within a new offense. And perhaps also reacclimate to game conditions following a debilitating injury last year.
But last week he looked very much like the prized free-agent signing the team thought it was getting. The Falcons have won three of their last four games, a stretch that includes a stunning road upset of the Philadelphia Eagles.
A passing offense that's suddenly surging and now among the league's top 10 while averaging 357.4 yards per game has been powering that run. The Falcons aren't far removed from hanging with the two-time defending champion Kansas City Chiefs, narrowly losing 22-17. Now, it's time to tee off on the still woeful Panthers.
The Panthers were briefly fun when Andy Dalton took over under center, beating the Las Vegas Raiders before giving the Cincinnati Bengals a scare.
But reality can be harsh, and there was a swift course correction when the Chicago Bears trounced the Panthers 36-10 last week. The Panthers now hold the league's worst point differential, and it's not especially close. They sit at minus-82, which is 29 points clear of any other team.
Their hole-filled defense is giving up a league-worst 33 points per outing, and ranking 22nd against the pass is an uncomfortable look as a fast-rising Falcons offense comes to town.
See all of our NFL picks for Week 6 for more help with your survivor picks. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Who I'm fading: Chargers (at Broncos)
It's difficult to gauge the Los Angeles Chargers, who have benefitted from a mostly weak schedule so far.
Jim Harbaugh continues to draw attention as an NFL Coach of the Year odds contender, but his team's two wins have come against the basement-dwelling Raiders and Panthers. And while the contest was close during a 17-10 loss to the Chiefs, there was no rushing game to speak of in both that defeat and their Week 3 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers (a combined 116 yards across the two contests).
Now Los Angeles travels to a difficult road environment to play a Denver Broncos team with a defense tied for second in points allowed per game (14.6), and a rookie quarterback beginning to find his stride. The Chargers are around -160 moneyline favorites at our best sports betting sites.
The Broncos have won three straight games, and Bo Nix hasn't thrown an interception since Week 2. The league's fifth-best pass defense props him up, leading to quality field position and less lifting for the offense overall.
NFL betting odds pages
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