4 Nations Face-off Odds & Favorites: Canada, USA the Pre-Tournament Favorites
The captains have been selected; the stage is set. The anticipation builds for the 4 Nations Face-Off with the puck drop so close we can taste it.
Canada and the USA are the favorites at our best sportsbooks. The Canadians are, however, receiving shorter odds for the Feb. 15 head-to-head showdown.
As if there was any doubt, Sidney Crosby was confirmed as Canada's captain, while Auston Matthews will lead the Americans. Aleksander Barkov was anointed the Finnish captain, and Victor Hedman gets the C for the Swedes. Here are the 4 Nations Face-Off odds entering the tournament, which starts on Feb. 12.
4 Nations Face-Off game odds, betting lines
(Odds from FanDuel as of Feb. 2; all times displayed in Eastern Time)
Wednesday, Feb. 12
Canada vs. Sweden, 8 p.m.
| Teams | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | -235 | -1.5 (+114) | O5.5 (-128) |
| Sweden | +190 | +1.5 (-140) | U5.5 (+104) |
Thursday, Feb. 13
Finland vs. USA, 8 p.m.
| Teams | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | -385 | -1.5 (-140) | O5.5 (-106) |
| Finland | +300 | +1.5 (+114) | U5.5 (-114) |
Saturday, Feb. 15
Sweden vs. Finland, 1 p.m.
| Teams | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden | -178 | -1.5 (+146) | O5.5 (+116) |
| Finland | +146 | +1.5 (-180) | U5.5 (-142) |
Canada vs. USA, 8 p.m.
| Teams | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | -118 | -1.5 (+205) | O5.5 (-140) |
| USA | -102 | +1.5 (-260) | U5.5 (+112) |
Monday, Feb. 17
Finland vs. Canada, 1 p.m.
| Teams | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | -350 | -1.5 (-130) | O5.5 (-115) |
| Finland | +275 | +1.5 (+106) | U5.5 (-105) |
USA vs. Sweden, 8 p.m.
| Teams | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | -225 | -1.5 (+120) | O5.5 (-112) |
| Sweden | +184 | +1.5 (-148) | U5.5 (-110) |
4 Nations Face-Off odds 2025
(4 Nations Face-Off odds as of Feb. 2)
| Team | Odds (FanDuel) | Implied probability | Profit on $10 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🥇 USA | +145 | 40.82% | $14.50 |
| 🥈 Canada | +155 | 39.22% | $15.50 |
| 🥉 Sweden | +430 | 18.87% | $43 |
| 📉 Finland | +950 | 9.52% | $95 |
The odds suggest that Canada and the United States are headed for a hotly anticipated final showdown – made even more attractive by the fact that we haven't seen a best-vs.-best hockey tournament of any kind since the 2016 World Cup of Hockey.
The implied probability gap between the top two and bottom two countries is significant, but the nature of events like these certainly favors a value bet on the underdogs. Anything can happen in a one-game encounter, especially considering that all four teams will feature elite NHL talent.
That much is evident when looking at their stacked rosters.
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4 Nations Face-Off favorites
Canada (+155)
(Rosters and odds as of Feb. 2; players with asterisks were the initial roster selections for each team)
| Player | Position | NHL team |
|---|---|---|
| Sam Bennett | Forward | Florida Panthers |
| Anthony Cirelli | Forward | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Sidney Crosby* | Forward | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| Brandon Hagel | Forward | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Seth Jarvis | Forward | Carolina Hurricanes |
| Travis Konecny | Forward | Philadelphia Flyers |
| Nathan MacKinnon* | Forward | Colorado Avalanche |
| Brad Marchand* | Forward | Boston Bruins |
| Mitch Marner | Forward | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| Connor McDavid* | Forward | Edmonton Oilers |
| Brayden Point* | Forward | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Sam Reinhart | Forward | Florida Panthers |
| Mark Stone | Forward | Vegas Golden Knights |
| Cale Makar* | Defenseman | Colorado Avalanche |
| Josh Morrissey | Defenseman | Winnipeg Jets |
| Colton Parayko | Defenseman | St. Louis Blues |
| Travis Sanheim | Defenseman | Philadelphia Flyers |
| Shea Theodore | Defenseman | Vegas Golden Knights |
| Devon Toews | Defenseman | Colorado Avalanche |
| Jordan Binnington | Goaltender | St. Louis Blues |
| Adin Hill | Goaltender | Vegas Golden Knights |
| Samuel Montembeault | Goaltender | Montreal Canadiens |
The depth of the Canadian roster goes a long way toward explaining why there's almost nothing to choose between the two 4 Nations Face-Off odds.
The initial six-man unit announced over the summer has combined for six Hart Trophies, seven scoring titles, eight Stanley Cups, and a Norris Trophy. Canada will be flush with offensive talent up front, along with the best puck-moving blue-liner in the league in Makar.
The biggest question mark will be in goal, where no Martin Brodeur, Patrick Roy, or Carey Price-caliber option is available. The battle to be No. 1 sees Vegas Golden Nights veteran Adin Hill, St. Louis Blues starter Jordan Binnington, and Montreal Canadiens veteran Samuel Montembeault tangle to see who will earn the top job. Binnington is the 4 Nations Face-off Canada starting goalie odds front-runner.
It's difficult to know just how much the lack of elite goaltending will matter – but you can be sure that Canada's impressive roster of skaters will do everything it can to ensure that it doesn't.
Odds: +155 at FanDuel | Implied probability: 39.22%
USA (+145)
| Player | Position | NHL team |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Boldy | Forward | Minnesota Wild |
| Kyle Connor | Forward | Winnipeg Jets |
| Jack Eichel* | Forward | Vegas Golden Knights |
| Jake Guentzel | Forward | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Jack Hughes | Forward | New Jersey Devils |
| Chris Kreider | Forward | New York Rangers |
| Dylan Larkin | Forward | Detroit Red Wings |
| Auston Matthews* | Forward | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| J.T. Miller | Forward | Vancouver Canucks |
| Brock Nelson | Forward | New York Islanders |
| Matthew Tkachuk* | Forward | Florida Panthers |
| Brady Tkachuk | Forward | Ottawa Senators |
| Vincent Trocheck | Forward | New York Rangers |
| Brock Faber | Defenseman | Minnesota Wild |
| Adam Fox* | Defenseman | New York Rangers |
| Noah Hanifin | Defenseman | Vegas Golden Knights |
| Quinn Hughes* | Defenseman | Vancouver Canucks |
| Charlie McAvoy* | Defenseman | Boston Bruins |
| Jaccob Slavin | Defenseman | Carolina Hurricanes |
| Zach Werenski | Defenseman | Columbus Blue Jackets |
| Connor Hellebuyck | Goaltender | Winnipeg Jets |
| Jake Oettinger | Goaltender | Dallas Stars |
| Jeremy Swayman | Goaltender | Boston Bruins |
Rolling out six sensational players in the prime of their careers as the core of the roster was a heck of a flex by the Americans – and the other 17 players aren't exactly third-liners, either.
That's the thing about this U.S. side: Not only is it deeper than it has ever been, but the majority of players who will suit up are young, hungry, and supremely talented. The expanded list includes Matthew Tkachuk's truculent Ottawa Senators sibling Brady, Chris Kreider of the New York Rangers, talented young defensemen Brock Faber of the Minnesota Wild, and Jaccob Slavin of the Carolina Hurricanes.
The U.S. also has a notable edge in goal – with two of the league's hottest goalies at the top of the pecking order.
Expect to see Connor Hellebuyck of the Winnipeg Jets as the No. 1 option, though Jake Oettinger of the Dallas Stars has been playing out of his mind and deserves a shot at top spot. Jeremy Swayman of the Boston Bruins round out the netminder roster, but he has struggled for most of the season and is the clear No. 3 at the 4 Nations Face-Off.
Odds: +145 at FanDuel | Implied probability: 40.82%
4 Nations Face-Off underdog
Sweden (+430)
| Player | Position | NHL team |
|---|---|---|
| Viktor Arvidsson | Forward | Edmonton Oilers |
| Jesper Bratt | Forward | New Jersey Devils |
| Leo Carlsson | Forward | Anaheim Ducks |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | Forward | Minnesota Wild |
| Filip Forsberg* | Forward | Nashville Predators |
| William Karlsson | Forward | Vegas Golden Knights |
| Adrian Kempe | Forward | Los Angeles Kings |
| Elias Lindholm | Forward | Boston Bruins |
| William Nylander* | Forward | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| Gustav Nyqvist | Forward | Nashville Predators |
| Elias Pettersson | Forward | Vancouver Canucks |
| Lucas Raymond | Forward | Detroit Red Wings |
| Mika Zibanejad* | Forward | New York Rangers |
| Rasmus Andersson | Defenseman | Calgary Flames |
| Jonas Brodin | Defenseman | Minnesota Wild |
| Rasmus Dahlin | Defenseman | Buffalo Sabres |
| Mattias Ekholm | Defenseman | Edmonton Oilers |
| Gustav Forsling* | Defenseman | Florida Panthers |
| Victor Hedman* | Defenseman | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Erik Karlsson* | Defenseman | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| Filip Gustavsson | Goaltender | Minnesota Wild |
| Jacob Markstrom | Goaltender | New Jersey Devils |
| Linus Ullmark | Goaltender | Ottawa Senators |
You can be certain that the Swedish roster is going to make life quite miserable for opposing forwards.
Any defense corps boasting a pair of elite puck-movers in Hedman and Erik Karlsson, along with a Stanley Cup-winning lynchpin in Gustav Forsling, will be well-positioned to grind out positive results. Add in the inclusions of former No. 1 pick Rasmus Dahlin of the Buffalo Sabres and Stanley Cup finalist Mattias Ekholm of the Edmonton Oilers, and defensive prowess is clearly a strength of this team.
That's going to loom especially large for a Swedish side that might have trouble keeping up offensively with the North American clubs.
Elias Pettersson of the Vancouver Canucks, Lucas Raymond of the Detroit Red Wings, and Adrian Kempe of the Los Angeles Kings will help, and the rest of Sweden's forward additions should contribute, as well. But there's not nearly the same level of scoring depth here, and though Linus Ullmark and Jacob Markstrom should fare well in goal, it's hard to see this team doing enough to make it to the final.
Odds: +430 at FanDuel | Implied probability: 18.87%
4 Nations Face-Off long shot
Finland (+950)
| Player | Position | NHL team |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Aho* | Forward | Carolina Hurricanes |
| Joel Armia | Forward | Montreal Canadiens |
| Aleksander Barkov* | Forward | Florida Panthers |
| Mikael Granlund | Forward | San Jose Sharks |
| Erik Haula | Forward | New Jersey Devils |
| Roope Hintz | Forward | Dallas Stars |
| Kaapo Kakko | Forward | New York Rangers |
| Patrik Laine | Forward | Montreal Canadiens |
| Artturi Lehkonen | Forward | Colorado Avalanche |
| Anton Lundell | Forward | Florida Panthers |
| Eetu Luostarinen | Forward | Florida Panthers |
| Mikko Rantanen* | Forward | Colorado Avalanche |
| Teuvo Teravainen | Forward | Chicago Blackhawks |
| Jani Hakanpaa | Defenseman | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| Miro Heiskanen* | Defenseman | Dallas Stars |
| Esa Lindell* | Defenseman | Dallas Stars |
| Olli Maataa | Defenseman | Utah Hockey Club |
| Niko Mikkola | Defenseman | Florida Panthers |
| Rasmus Ristolainen | Defenseman | Philadelphia Flyers |
| Juuso Valimaki | Defenseman | Utah Hockey Club |
| Kevin Lankinen | Goaltender | Vancouver Canucks |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | Goaltender | Buffalo Sabres |
| Juuse Saros* | Goaltender | Nashville Predators |
Finland's top-end talent is among the best in the world.
Rolling out an initial six-man roster that includes a reigning Stanley Cup champ and two-time Selke Trophy winner (Barkov), a two-time 100-point scorer (Rantanen), a pair of NHL blue-liners who are a combined plus-66 over the past two seasons (Heiskanen and Lindell), and the goalie who has led the NHL in saves in two straight years (Saros) is a real luxury.
The issue with the Finns is the drop-off. After Roope Hintz, the remaining forward group takes a major hit when compared to the other three teams in the tourney. The defensive depth is sorely lacking, and the two options in net behind Saros (Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, Kevin Lankinen) all have major question marks.
Finland might steal a win, but even in a short round-robin, this team is the most likely to be overmatched.
Odds: +950 at FanDuel | Implied probability: 9.52%
4 Nations Face-Off round-robin points odds
(Odds as of Feb. 2)
| Points | Canada | USA | Sweden | Finland |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ | -8000 | -8000 | -800 | -300 |
| 3+ | -3500 | -3000 | -440 | -178 |
| 4+ | -550 | -490 | -114 | +182 |
| 5+ | -310 | -290 | +146 | +290 |
| 6+ | -174 | -160 | +210 | +450 |
| 7+ | +188 | +198 | +640 | +1200 |
| 8+ | +300 | +300 | +920 | +2000 |
| 9+ | +520 | +550 | +1400 | +2500 |
Teams earn three points for a regulation victory, two points for an overtime win, one point for an OT loss, and zero points for a regulation defeat.
4 Nations Face-Off odds: Most tournament goals
Odds as of Feb. 2
| Player | Odds (DraftKings) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | +800 | 11.11% | $80 |
| Brayden Point | +1000 | 9.09% | $100 |
| Sam Reinhart | +1000 | 9.09% | $100 |
| Connor McDavid | +1000 | 9.09% | $100 |
| Jack Hughes | +1300 | 7.14% | $130 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | +1500 | 6.25% | $150 |
| Brady Tkachuk | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
| William Nylander | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
| Mikko Rantanen | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
| Filip Forsberg | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
Most tournament goals favorite
Auston Matthews (+800)
Regardless of the competition's duration, you can't go wrong backing Matthews to win a goal-scoring title.
He's the world's best goal scorer, a claim he repeatedly proves. Matthews is also one of the streakiest goal-scorers, as he can light the lamp at ridiculous rates.
Take last season, for example. Matthews scored 10 goals in a seven-game stretch in December and followed that with 10 goals in five games in February. Then, in April, he finished the season with a scorching 10-goal-in-eight-contest run.
Very rarely does he endure an extended dry patch, which is why he's the most appealing player in this market. Plus, he has some of the world's best passers feeding him the puck, including Jack and Quinn Hughes. And he's been hot with the Maple Leafs, scoring at a high clip since returning from his second injury stint.
A winning $10 bet will profit $80 at our best sports betting sites.
Odds: +800 | Implied probability: 11.11%
Most tournament goals player to watch
Sam Reinhart (+1000)
There's a decent chance Reinhart will be on a line with Connor McDavid. If that happens, Reinhart has to be considered alongside Matthews as a front-runner to score the most goals.
McDavid makes everyone around him palpably better, and he's the best passer in the game (Nikita Kucherov might refute that assertion).
Reinhart finished second behind Matthews in the Rocket Richard race last season, scoring 57 goals. He's also one of the most ruthless offensive players and has scored on almost 25% of his shots since the start of last season.
If he can extend that absurdly high shooting percentage into the 4 Nations Face-Off, he'll be extremely tough to beat. A winning $10 bet would profit $100 at our best sports betting apps.
Odds: +1000 | Implied probability: 9.09%
4 Nations Face-Off: Most tournament points
Odds as of Feb. 2
| Player | Odds (DraftKings) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | +800 | 11.11% | $80 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | +1000 | 9.09% | $100 |
| Auston Matthews | +1500 | 6.25% | $150 |
| Mikko Rantanen | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
| Jack Hughes | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
| Aleksander Barkov | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
| Quinn Hughes | +2200 | 4.35% | $220 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | +2200 | 4.35% | $220 |
| Jack Eichel | +2200 | 4.35% | $220 |
| Cale Makar | +2200 | 4.35% | $220 |
Most tournament points favorite
Connor McDavid (+800)
Nobody will be surprised to see McDavid as the favorite to score the most points. He has been the most prolific point-getter in recent years and will have elite players to dish the puck to everywhere he turns, regardless of who he's paired with.
McDavid notched 100 assists last season and often didn't play on Leon Draisaitl's line. He was one of the primary reasons Zach Hyman scored 50 goals for the first time in his career.
While McDavid will be playing against the best of the best, he'll also be paired up with the world's most formidable goal scorers. I like the sound of that where the world's best passer is concerned.
The +800 odds offer excellent value, and a $10 winning bet would profit $80.
Odds: +800 | Implied probability: 11.11%
Most tournament points player to watch
Jack Eichel (+2200)
Jack Eichel is back to his best with the Vegas Golden Knights, and he's among the league leaders in points.
Playing for Team USA, Eichel will be surrounded with snipers and youthful assassins, both from a shooting and passing perspective. Imagine seeing him beside Matthews and or Hughes.
I love the +2200 odds, which would pay a $220 profit if he gets the job done.
Odds: +2200 | Implied probability: 4.35%
4 Nations Face-Off FAQs
Who is the 4 Nations Face-Off favorite?
Team USA is the 4 Nations Face-Off via FanDuel, trading at +145. Those odds imply a win probability of 40.82%.
When does the 4 Nations Face-Off take place?
The 4 Nations Face-Off takes place from Feb. 12 to 20, 2025, with games split between Montreal's Bell Centre and Boston's TD Garden.
What countries are in the 4 Nations Face-Off?
Canada, the United States, Sweden, and Finland are the participating countries at the 4 Nations Face-Off.
Who is the 4 Nations Face-Off favorite?
Canada and the USA are the pre-tournament odds favorites to win the 4 Nations Face-Off, with the former at +155 and the latter +145 at FanDuel.
How are points awarded in the 4 Nations Face-Off?
Teams are given three points for a regulation win, two points for an overtime victory, and one point for an OT loss.
When were the 4 Nations Face-Off rosters announced?
Initial six-man rosters for each team were revealed over the summer, while the remainder of the 4 Nations Face-off rosters were announced Dec. 4.
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