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The Alex Ovechkin goals record odds
Pictured: Washington Capitals left wing Alex Ovechkin celebrates after scoring a goal against the New York Rangers. Photo by Wendell Cruz via Imagn Images

The countdown is officially into single digits after Alex Ovechkin scored his 886th goal into an empty net against the Seattle Kraken on Sunday. He's now just nine goals away from breaking Wayne Gretzky's all-time goal-scoring mark of 894. 

The Alex Ovechkin goals record odds clearly indicate he's on pace to break the record this season, with a 67.74% probability at DraftKings. 

Ovi has logged 33 goals in 48 games, scoring at a 0.69 goals-per-game clip. If he continues his current trajectory, he'll finish the campaign with 46 goals and 899 all-time.

πŸ’ Will Ovechkin score today?

Ovechkin and the Capitals visit the Anaheim Ducks on Tuesday, with the first puck drop scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. Ovi has 12 goals in 26 games against the Ducks but hasn't scored against them in the last six meetings. 

πŸ“Š Will Alex Ovechkin break the NHL's all-time goals record this season?

Alex Ovechkin goals record odds via DraftKings as of Monday, March 10.

OutcomeOddsImplied probabilityProfit on $10 bet
Yes-21067.74%$4.76

Ovechkin enters Tuesday's game with seven goals over his last seven games. This recent run has flipped the odds to make "yes" the most likely outcome for whether Ovechkin scores goal No. 895 this season, according to oddsmakers.

βš–οΈ Method of Alex Ovechkin's record-breaking goal

MethodOddsImplied probabilityProfit on $10 bet
Even strength goal-22069.75%$4.55
Power play goal+15040.00%$15
Shorthanded goal+100000.99%$1000

Power play goal is underpriced in this method market. Though Ovechkin already has the NHL record with 321 career PP goals, those represent 36.2% of his career tallies. Based on that implied probability, we should see betting odds of +176, according to our odds converter.

Ovechkin has just five career shorthanded goals, making up 0.57% of his career goals. I'd avoid that proposition.

πŸ₯… Which team will Alex Ovechkin's record-breaking goal be against?

OutcomeOddsProfit on $10 bet
Blue Jackets+300$30
Islanders+300$30
Hurricanes+350$35
Blackhawks+800$80
Penguins+900$90
Bruins+1200$120
Sabres+1500$150
Wild+2200$220
Jets+3500$350
Panthers+5000$500
Flyers+8000$800

πŸ† NHL all-time goal scoring leaders

PlayerYears ActiveGamesGoals
Wayne Gretzky1979-991,487894
Alex Ovechkin*2005-present1,468885
Gordie Howe1946-801,767801
Jaromir Jagr1990-20181,733766
Brett Hull1986-20051,269741
Marcel Dionne1971-881,348731
Phil Esposito1963-811,282717
Mike Gartner1979-971,432708
Mark Messier1979-20031,756694
Steve Yzerman1983-20051,514692
Mario Lemieux1984-2005915690
Teemu Selanne1992-20131,451684
Luc Robitaille1986-20051,431668
Brendan Shanahan1987-20081,524656
Dave Andreychuk1982-20051,639640
Jarome Iginla1996-20171,554625
Joe Sakic1988-20081,378625
Bobby Hull1957-791,063610
Sidney Crosby*2005-present1,327609
Dino Ciccarelli1980-981,232608

*Active player

🎱 Alex Ovechkin goals record facts

  • Ovechkin has scored an incredible 412 NHL goals (and counting) since turning 30, second all-time to Gordie Howe (415).
  • Ovi already has a pair of NHL "accumulation" records under his belt: He has scored the most power-play goals in history (321), and has also taken the most shots on goal (6,810).
  • Ovechkin also holds the record for the most goaltenders scored against, having put at least one puck past 181 different netminders. He broke the record Jan. 16, 2025 with a goal against Ottawa Senators goalie Leevi Merilainen.
  • Ovi's 19 30-goal seasons are the most in NHL history, two better than Mike Gartner – after already reaching the 30-goal plateau this season. He also owns the record for most 40-goal seasons (13) and is tied with Gretzky and Mike Bossy for the most 50-goal seasons (nine).
  • Ovechkin has won a record nine goal scoring titles – and with all of them coming during the Rocket Richard Trophy era, that's a lot of hardware for No. 8's trophy case.

For as prolific as Ovi has been in his career, he has gone just 2-for-13 on penalty shots, with his only goals both coming in 2010.

❓ Alex Ovechkin goals record FAQs

How close is Alex Ovechkin to breaking the goals record?

Ovechkin has scored 886 regular-season NHL goals, leaving him nine shy of breaking the all-time record.

Who is the NHL's all-time goal scoring leader?

Wayne Gretzky owns the NHL's goal scoring record with 894 career regular-season tallies.

What are the odds Alex Ovechkin will break the goal scoring record this season?

DraftKings has Ovechkin listed at -210 to pass Wayne Gretzky's all-time goals record in 2025, carrying an implied probability of 67.74%.

How many goals does Alex Ovechkin score per season?

Entering the 2024-25 season, Ovechkin averaged nearly 45 goals per season over his first 19 NHL campaigns.

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