Hart Trophy Odds 2025: Kaprizov the Favorite, Three Former Winners Chasing
Kirill the Thrill is still thrilling the Minnesota Wild faithful while annoying every other fanbase. The Wild's left winger has been dominant wherever he plays but even more so in enemy rinks, where he has 1.81 points per game, the second-most behind Nikita Kucherov's two points per game.
It's no wonder he is the Hart Trophy odds favorite across our best NHL betting sites. What's more impressive is that he continues to hold off former winners Connor McDavid, Nathan MacKinnon, and Kucherov.
Kaprizov has maintained his advantage atop the odds leaderboard, which is easier said than done considering MacKinnon leads the NHL in scoring, McDavid is shredding through most defenses he faces, and Kucherov scored six points against the Calgary Flames.
Hart Trophy odds 2024-25
Hart Trophy odds from our best sports betting sites
Some recent Hart Trophy odds news and notes:
- Kaprizov is second in plus-minus (plus-23), has the most even-strength points (37), and has led his team to the NHL's second-best points percentage (tied with the Washington Capitals)
- Kaprizov's odd improved from +165 to +130 over the last week. That's after shortening from +300 the previous week
- Kucherov is on an eight-game point streak, scoring 18 points
- MacKinnon leads the league in points (50), has the most home points (29), and is tied for third with 20 primary assists
- McDavid's Edmonton Oilers have the shortest Stanley Cup odds among the five favorites
- Connor Hellebuyck (+4000) is the only goaltender among the 10 favorites. A goaltender hasn't won since Carey Price in 2015
Hart Trophy favorites 2024-25
Kirill Kaprizov (+130)
To stay atop the Hart Trophy odds leaderboard with the likes of McDavid, MacKinnon, and Kucherov in the rearview is no easy feat, but Kaprizov is holding on tight, like a sniper on his stick during a scoring drought.
The left-winger has been held pointless in just six of 30 contests thus far. He has 16 multi-point games, including a streak of seven straight at the start of the season.
The 27-year-old has 29 points in 16 road games. That's far superior to everyone but Kucherov. Maybe most impressively, Kaprizov has the second-best plus-minus in enemy rinks (+15), only trailing teammate Jake Middleton (+20).
He's 18 points ahead of any Matt Boldy, the Wild's second-leading scorer. Nobody will be shocked to hear that the Wild have the league's second-best road points percentage, largely thanks to The Thrill's away exploits.
Whether Kaprizov can sustain this torrid pace is the million-dollar question, as his previous career best is 108 points in 81 games, which equates to 1.33 points per game.
Kaprizov has a 21 shooting percentage, just under 4% better than his previous best.
Over the last 14 days, his odds shortened drastically, from +300 to +130. If you're keen on backing Kaprizov, I'd wait for his odds to lengthen.
I still doubt his staying power against three players who will almost invariably continue their torrid pace throughout the season. And I think an implied probability of 43.48% at this stage of the season is way too high, particularly considering how rampant the other three top contenders are.
Best odds: +130 via BetRivers | Implied probability: 43.48%
Connor McDavid (+320)
McDavid is back to his best after enduring a frustrating start, which included an ankle injury that forced him out of the lineup for three games.
Since returning, he's been unstoppable. When the Oilers are in top form, so too is their captain.
He has seven points in 10 Edmonton losses and 33 points in 16 wins. Not much else needs to be said. As usual, he's far superior on home ice, mainly thanks to exploiting better matchups. The ice is also ranked among the best at Rogers Place. He has 27 points in 16 home games and 17 in 12 road contests.
He has two goals and nine assists in his current six-game point streak. I've put my money on him, as I feel nobody else on the planet can stop him when he's in the mood, which is almost always. His odds lengthened from +310 to +350 two weeks ago before returning to +320, offering an idyll time to lock him in.
Best odds: +320 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 23.81%
My 2025 Hart Trophy player to watch
Connor Hellebuyck (+4000)
If any goaltender can break the nine-year drought, it's Hellebuyck. After seeing his odds improve from +3500 to +2500, they have since decreased to +4000.
Hellebuyck has won five of his last six starts after losing three in a row for the first time this season. He has the best goals-saved above expected (18.4), which he improved by 2.4 over the last week.
He has the second-best save percentage (.926) and has the second-best goals-against average (2.15). He's also got three goose eggs, tied for the most with four other netminders, and he's 20-5-1. Those 20 wins are four better than Jacob Markstrom and Jake Oettinger.
He does, however, have the unenviable job of convincing the decision-makers that a goaltender can, in fact, be worthy of winning the Hart.
Best odds: +4000 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 2.44%
Hart Trophy odds over time
Most recent odds via DraftKings
| Player | June 26 | July 23 | Sept. 20 | Dec. 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | +175 | +165 | +150 | +320 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | +700 | +650 | +650 | +750 |
| Auston Matthews | +800 | +900 | +900 | +10000 |
| Jack Hughes | +1100 | +1300 | +1300 | +5000 |
| Nikita Kucherov | +2000 | +2000 | +2000 | +700 |
| Leon Draisaitl | +2000 | +2000 | +2000 | +2000 |
| Kirill Kaprizov | +2000 | +2000 | +2000 | +115 |
| David Pastrnak | +2000 | +2000 | +2000 | +10000 |
| Cale Makar | +4000 | +3000 | +3000 | +5000 |
| Connor Bedard | +4000 | +4000 | +4000 | +30000 |
Hart Trophy past winners
McDavid has won two of the last four Hart Trophies, while centers have taken five MVP awards in a row. Carey Price, who took the plaudits in 2014-15, was the last non-forward to win the award.
| Year | Player | Position | Team | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-2024 | Nathan MacKinnon | C | Avalanche | +1000 |
| 2022-2023 | Connor McDavid | C | Oilers | +300 |
| 2021-2022 | Auston Matthews | C | Leafs | +900 |
| 2020-2021 | Connor McDavid | C | Oilers | +600 |
| 2019-2020 | Leon Draisaitl | C | Oilers | +4000 |
| 2018-2019 | Nikita Kucherov | RW | Lightning | +1500 |
| 2017-2018 | Taylor Hall | LW | Devils | N/A |
| 2016-2017 | Connor McDavid | C | Oilers | +600 |
| 2015-2016 | Patrick Kane | RW | Blackhawks | N/A |
| 2014-2015 | Carey Price | G | Canadiens | +5000 |
| 2013-2014 | Sidney Crosby | C | Penguins | +300 |
| 2012-2013 | Alex Ovechkin | LW | Capitals | +1350 |
Hart Trophy winners by position
| Position | Hart Trophies |
|---|---|
| Center | 54 |
| Right wing | 17 |
| Left wing | 10 |
| Defencemen | 10 |
| Goaltenders | 8 |
Hart Trophy winners by team
| Team | Hart Trophies |
|---|---|
| Montreal Canadiens | 17 |
| Edmonton Oilers | 13 |
| Boston Bruins | 12 |
| Detroit Red Wings | 9 |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 7 |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 7 |
| New York Rangers | 4 |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 4 |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 3 |
| Colorado Avalanche | 3 |
| Washington Capitals | 3 |
| St. Louis Blues | 2 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 2 |
| Buffalo Sabres | 2 |
| Montreal Maroons | 2 |
| Ottawa Senators | 1 |
| Hamilton Tigers | 1 |
| New York Americans | 1 |
| Brooklyn Americans | 1 |
| New York Islanders | 1 |
| Los Angeles Kings | 1 |
| San Jose Sharks | 1 |
| Vancouver Canucks | 1 |
| Anaheim Ducks | 1 |
| New Jersey Devils | 1 |
How to bet on Hart Trophy futures odds
Understand the odds: Familiarize yourself with the odds listed by each sportsbook for different players to win the Hart Trophy. The player with the lowest odds is considered the favorite.
Look at historical data: Has the player previously won the award, and what position does the individual you're considering backing play? Centers have won over three times as many Hart Trophies as any other position.
Look at the supporting cast: Who does the Hart Trophy candidate play alongside? Will they help or hinder his chances of winning MVP?
Research player performances: Dive into the statistics of the player. The Hart Trophy is usually handed out to an offensive leader, so concentrate on associated stats. Does the player perform better against teams he plays more often?
Stay up to date: Make sure you stay current on injuries to the candidate and his supporting cast. Find out whether there are any suspensions and also look at strength of schedule. Is the player on a hot or cold streak?
Cash-out or hold: Depending on how the season progresses and the player's performance, you can cash out if the odds are in your favor or hold onto your bet until the end of the season to see if your chosen player wins the Hart.
How to read Hart Trophy futures odds
Reading Hart Trophy odds is straightforward. Odds are usually presented in a format like +500 or -200. Positive odds (e.g., +500) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet.
For example, a $100 bet at +500 odds would win you $500, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $600. Negative odds (e.g., -200) indicate how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $200 bet at -200 odds would win you $100, plus your $200 stake, totaling $300.
These odds also reflect the probability of a team winning the championship. Lower odds (e.g., +300) suggest a higher likelihood, while higher odds (e.g., +2000) indicate a lower probability.
Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on performance, injuries, trades, and betting patterns.
Hart Trophy FAQs
Who is the Hart Trophy favorite?
Kirill Kaprizov is Hart Trophy odds favorite at FanDuel, trading at +130. Those represent a 43.48% implied probability via our odds calculator.
Who won the Hart Trophy last year?
Nathan MacKinnon won the 2023-24 Hart Trophy after opening the season at +1000. It was his first Hart Trophy victory.
When will the Hart Trophy be decided?
Last season's Hart Trophy winner was announced at the NHL Awards ceremony on June 27, 2024. The Hart Trophy winner is always announced after the Stanley Cup Final, so a similar timeline is expected for the 2024-25 winner.
Who has won the most Hart Trophy awards?
Wayne Gretzky won the Hart Trophy nine times, three more than second place Gordie Howe (6).
Which active player has won the most Hart Trophy awards?
Connor McDavid and Alexander Ovechkin each have won three Hart Trophies, the most of all active players.
Who was the last defenseman to win the Hart Trophy?
Chris Pronger won the Hart Trophy with the St. Louis Blues in 2000, the last defenseman to win the accolade.
Who was the last back-to-back Hart Trophy winner?
Alexander Ovechkin won the Hart Trophy in 2008 and 2009, the last back-to-back winner.
Who was the last goaltender to win the Hart Trophy?
Carey Price won the Hart Trophy in 2014-15, the last netminder to win the award.
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