NBA Finals MVP Odds & Favorites 2025: SGA Favorite, Tatum off the Board Following Injury

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the clear NBA Finals MVP favorite with Jayson Tatum off the board following an injury in Game 4 against the New York Knicks.
NBA Finals MVP Odds & Favorites 2025: Gilgeous-Alexander Leads Edwards, Brunson, Haliburton
Pictured: Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander controls the ball as Denver Nuggets guard Christian Braun defends. Photo by Isaiah J. Downing via Imagn Images.

After Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jayson Tatum sat atop the NBA Finals MVP odds at our best sports betting sites for weeks, the former is now the overwhelming favorite following an injury to Tatum in the Boston Celtics' Game 4 loss to the New York Knicks.

Despite the Thunder struggling more than expected with the Denver Nuggets in the second round of the NBA playoffs, they remain the clear NBA championship odds favorites, with our AI prediction projecting SGA to win NBA Finals MVP with Chet Holmgren as a long-shot pick.

📊 Live NBA Finals MVP odds 2025

Our 2025 NBA Finals MVP odds update in real time based on the odds from our best sports betting apps.

🤖 NBA Finals MVP AI prediction

We asked ChatGPT to analyze historical trends and NBA stats before predicting the winner of this year's NBA Finals MVP. Our AI prediction projects Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will win NBA Finals MVP

đŸ–Ĩī¸ AI NBA Finals MVP prediction: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (+130)

NBA Finals MVP Odds & Favorites 2025: Gilgeous-Alexander, Tatum Lead Mitchell
Pictured: Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander shoots against Detroit Pistons guard Dennis Schroder. Photo by Alonzo Adams via Imagn Images.

🏀 Dominant season performance: SGA led the Thunder to a historic 68–14 record - the sixth-best in NBA history - while averaging 32.7 points per game
🏀 Team's championship contention: The Thunder are the current favorites to win the NBA title, and as the team's cornerstone, SGA's performance is integral to their title aspirations
🏀 Consistent leadership: His ability to perform under pressure and lead his team has been a significant factor in Oklahoma City's playoff success

🤔 Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI prediction would mean SGA (+130 via DraftKings) winning his first NBA Finals MVP. ChatGPT is a large language model and not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, so these projections should be viewed as entertainment or a supplementary data point for your NBA Finals MVP betting research.

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đŸŽ¯ AI long shot NBA Finals MVP prediction

đŸŒŠī¸ Chet Holmgren (+10000)

🏀 Defensive presence: Holmgren's shot-blocking and rim protection have been vital for the Thunder, especially in matchups against elite big men
🏀 Offensive contributions: While not the primary scorer, Holmgren's ability to stretch the floor and contribute offensively adds another dimension to the Thunder's attack
🏀 Potential for breakout: If Holmgren elevates his game during the Finals, his two-way impact could position him as a surprise MVP candidate, offering significant value at long-shot odds

While Gilgeous-Alexander stands as the favorite, Holmgren presents an intriguing underdog option for those looking for higher returns while still targeting a high-end talent on the team favored to win the NBA Finals.

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đŸ”ĸ NBA Finals MVP opening odds

Odds via DraftKings.

  • Jayson Tatum: +600
  • Jaylen Brown: +900
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: +1000
  • Nikola Jokic: +1000
  • Luka Doncic: +1200
  • Joel Embiid: +1300
  • Jalen Brunson: +1300
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo: +1600
  • Anthony Edwards: +1800
  • Stephen Curry: +3500

🏅 Past NBA Finals MVP award winners

Team Year Playoff odds
Jaylen Brown 2024 +700
Nikola Jokic 2023  -350
Stephen Curry 2022 -110
Giannis Antetokounmpo 2021 +275
LeBron James 2020 -160
Kawhi Leonard 2019 +245
Kevin Durant 2018 -135
Kevin Durant 2017 +190
LeBron James 2016 +225
Andre Iguodala 2015 +12500
Kawhi Leonard 2014 +1800
LeBron James 2013 -250

❓ NBA Finals MVP FAQs

Who is the favorite to win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?

Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to win NBA Finals MVP. His odds are +130, which imply a 43.48% win probability.

Who won the NBA Finals MVP last year?

Boston Celtics All-Star Jaylen Brown won NBA Finals MVP last year. Brown's shortest odds of -240 before Boston's series-clinching Game 5 win implied a 70.59% win probability.

When will the 2025 NBA Finals MVP be announced?

The 2025 NBA Finals begin on June 5, 2025. The NBA Finals MVP will be announced following the conclusion of the series.

💰 NBA betting odds pages

đŸ’ĩ Best NBA betting sites

Want to bet on the NBA Finals MVP? Check out the best NBA betting sites and best sportsbook promos to bet on the NBA awards:

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