NBA Finals MVP Odds & Favorites 2025: SGA Favorite, Tatum off the Board Following Injury
After Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jayson Tatum sat atop the NBA Finals MVP odds at our best sports betting sites for weeks, the former is now the overwhelming favorite following an injury to Tatum in the Boston Celtics' Game 4 loss to the New York Knicks.
Despite the Thunder struggling more than expected with the Denver Nuggets in the second round of the NBA playoffs, they remain the clear NBA championship odds favorites, with our AI prediction projecting SGA to win NBA Finals MVP with Chet Holmgren as a long-shot pick.
📊 Live NBA Finals MVP odds 2025
Our 2025 NBA Finals MVP odds update in real time based on the odds from our best sports betting apps.
🤖 NBA Finals MVP AI prediction
We asked ChatGPT to analyze historical trends and NBA stats before predicting the winner of this year's NBA Finals MVP. Our AI prediction projects Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will win NBA Finals MVP.
🖥️ AI NBA Finals MVP prediction: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (+130)
🏀 Dominant season performance: SGA led the Thunder to a historic 68–14 record - the sixth-best in NBA history - while averaging 32.7 points per game
🏀 Team's championship contention: The Thunder are the current favorites to win the NBA title, and as the team's cornerstone, SGA's performance is integral to their title aspirations
🏀 Consistent leadership: His ability to perform under pressure and lead his team has been a significant factor in Oklahoma City's playoff success
🤔 Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI prediction would mean SGA (+130 via DraftKings) winning his first NBA Finals MVP. ChatGPT is a large language model and not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, so these projections should be viewed as entertainment or a supplementary data point for your NBA Finals MVP betting research.
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🎯 AI long shot NBA Finals MVP prediction
🌩️ Chet Holmgren (+10000)
🏀 Defensive presence: Holmgren's shot-blocking and rim protection have been vital for the Thunder, especially in matchups against elite big men
🏀 Offensive contributions: While not the primary scorer, Holmgren's ability to stretch the floor and contribute offensively adds another dimension to the Thunder's attack
🏀 Potential for breakout: If Holmgren elevates his game during the Finals, his two-way impact could position him as a surprise MVP candidate, offering significant value at long-shot odds
While Gilgeous-Alexander stands as the favorite, Holmgren presents an intriguing underdog option for those looking for higher returns while still targeting a high-end talent on the team favored to win the NBA Finals.
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🔢 NBA Finals MVP opening odds
Odds via DraftKings.
- Jayson Tatum: +600
- Jaylen Brown: +900
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: +1000
- Nikola Jokic: +1000
- Luka Doncic: +1200
- Joel Embiid: +1300
- Jalen Brunson: +1300
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: +1600
- Anthony Edwards: +1800
- Stephen Curry: +3500
🏅 Past NBA Finals MVP award winners
| Team | Year | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | 2024 | +700 |
| Nikola Jokic | 2023 | -350 |
| Stephen Curry | 2022 | -110 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 2021 | +275 |
| LeBron James | 2020 | -160 |
| Kawhi Leonard | 2019 | +245 |
| Kevin Durant | 2018 | -135 |
| Kevin Durant | 2017 | +190 |
| LeBron James | 2016 | +225 |
| Andre Iguodala | 2015 | +12500 |
| Kawhi Leonard | 2014 | +1800 |
| LeBron James | 2013 | -250 |
❓ NBA Finals MVP FAQs
Who is the favorite to win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?
Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to win NBA Finals MVP. His odds are +130, which imply a 43.48% win probability.
Who won the NBA Finals MVP last year?
Boston Celtics All-Star Jaylen Brown won NBA Finals MVP last year. Brown's shortest odds of -240 before Boston's series-clinching Game 5 win implied a 70.59% win probability.
When will the 2025 NBA Finals MVP be announced?
The 2025 NBA Finals begin on June 5, 2025. The NBA Finals MVP will be announced following the conclusion of the series.
💰 NBA betting odds pages
💵 Best NBA betting sites
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