NBA Finals MVP Odds & Favorites 2025: SGA Leads Haliburton Entering Game 1

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the clear NBA Finals MVP favorite with Tyrese Haliburton being his closest competition.
NBA Finals MVP Odds & Favorites 2025: Gilgeous-Alexander Leads Haliburton, Siakam, Williams
Pictured: Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (2) celebrates with the Western Conference Finals MVP trophy. Photo by Alonzo Adams / Imagn Images.

After winning league MVP honors for the first time this season, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the overwhelming NBA Finals MVP odds favorite at our best sports betting sites ahead of Thursday's Game 1 at 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have a nearly 90% chance of winning the title by the latest NBA championship odds, which is why SGA (-550) is such a big favorite, but Pacers guard Tyrese Haliburton (+700) remains in the hunt.

📊 Live NBA Finals MVP odds 2025

Our 2025 NBA Finals MVP odds update in real time based on the odds from our best sports betting apps.

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🤖 NBA Finals MVP AI prediction

We asked ChatGPT to analyze historical trends and NBA stats before predicting the winner of this year's NBA Finals MVP. Our AI prediction projects Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will win NBA Finals MVP

đŸ–Ĩī¸ AI NBA Finals MVP prediction: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (-550)

NBA Finals MVP Odds & Favorites 2025: Gilgeous-Alexander, Tatum Lead Mitchell
Pictured: Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander shoots against Detroit Pistons guard Dennis Schroder. Photo by Alonzo Adams via Imagn Images.

🏀 Dominant playoff performance: Gilgeous-Alexander has been instrumental in leading the Thunder to the NBA Finals, averaging 31.4 points, 8.2 assists, and 5.2 rebounds per game in the Western Conference Finals
🏀 Regular season MVP: His exceptional regular-season performance, where he averaged 32.7 points per game, earned him the NBA MVP award, and he's kept up his play in the playoffs with 11 performances of 30-plus points heading into the NBA Finals
🏀 Team success: The Thunder finished the regular season with a league-best 68–14 record and have continued their dominance in the playoffs, positioning Gilgeous-Alexander as the frontrunner for Finals MVP

🤔 Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI prediction would mean SGA (-550 via FanDuel) winning his first NBA Finals MVP. ChatGPT is a large language model and not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, so these projections should be viewed as entertainment or a supplementary data point for your NBA Finals MVP betting research.

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đŸŽ¯ AI long shot NBA Finals MVP prediction

đŸŒŠī¸ Jalen Williams (+3300)

🏀 Key contributions: Williams has stepped up during the playoffs, notably scoring 34 points in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals, showcasing his ability to impact high-stakes games
🏀 Versatility: His ability to contribute across multiple facets of the game - he's averaging 20.4 points, 5.8 rebounds, 5.3 assists, and 1.6 steals in the playoffs heading into the NBA Finals - adds significant value to the Thunder's lineup
🏀 Opportunity for recognition: If Gilgeous-Alexander faces challenges or defenses focus heavily on him, Williams has the potential to take on a larger role and emerge as a standout performer in the Finals

đŸ”ĸ NBA Finals MVP opening odds

Odds via DraftKings.

  • Jayson Tatum: +600
  • Jaylen Brown: +900
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: +1000
  • Nikola Jokic: +1000
  • Luka Doncic: +1200
  • Joel Embiid: +1300
  • Jalen Brunson: +1300
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo: +1600
  • Anthony Edwards: +1800
  • Stephen Curry: +3500

🏅 Past NBA Finals MVP award winners

Team Year Playoff odds
Jaylen Brown 2024 +700
Nikola Jokic 2023  -350
Stephen Curry 2022 -110
Giannis Antetokounmpo 2021 +275
LeBron James 2020 -160
Kawhi Leonard 2019 +245
Kevin Durant 2018 -135
Kevin Durant 2017 +190
LeBron James 2016 +225
Andre Iguodala 2015 +12500
Kawhi Leonard 2014 +1800
LeBron James 2013 -250

❓ NBA Finals MVP FAQs

Who is the favorite to win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?

Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to win NBA Finals MVP. His odds are -550, which imply an 84.62% win probability.

Who won the NBA Finals MVP last year?

Boston Celtics All-Star Jaylen Brown won NBA Finals MVP last year. Brown's shortest odds of -240 before Boston's series-clinching Game 5 win implied a 70.59% win probability.

When will the 2025 NBA Finals MVP be announced?

The 2025 NBA Finals begin Thursday at 8:30 p.m. ET. The NBA Finals MVP will be announced following the conclusion of the series.

💰 NBA betting odds pages

đŸ’ĩ Best NBA betting sites

Want to bet on the NBA Finals MVP? Check out the best NBA betting sites and best sportsbook promos to bet on the NBA awards:

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